PENGARUH FAKTOR EKONOMI MAKRO TERHADAP HARGA EMAS DI INDONESIA

Authors

  • Wisnu Yuwono Universitas Internasional Batam
  • Calvin Calvin Universitas Internasional Batam
  • Johny Budiman Universitas Internasional Batam
  • Dewi Khornida Marheni Universitas Internasional Batam

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.34127/jrlab.v14i2.1514

Keywords:

Inflation, Interest Rates, Gross Domestic Product, Unemployment Rates, Gold Prices

Abstract

This study was conducted with the aim of analyzing the impact of macroeconomic variables on gold prices in Indonesia. The variables analyzed include inflation, interest rates, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), and unemployment rates. The data used covers an eleven-year period, from January 2013 to December 2023. The results of the study show that inflation and interest rates have a negative but insignificant effect on gold prices. Conversely, GDP and unemployment rates have a significant positive effect on changes in gold prices in Indonesia. The results of this study can be a reference for investors in planning gold investments in the future.

References

Agustin, I. N. (2022). Can Social Responsible Investment and Gold be a Good Diversifier for Indonesia Sharia Investors? Jurnal Keuangan Dan Perbankan, 26(1), 146–160. https://doi.org/10.26905/jkdp.v26i1.6929

Ahmad, F. (2021). Analisis Pengaruh Makroekonomi, Komoditas Dunia, dan Indeks Dunia terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) pada Periode 2014-2019. Jurnal Ilmu Manajemen, 9(1), 295. https://doi.org/10.26740/jim.v9n1.p295-310

Angelina, S., & Nugraha, N. M. (2020). Effects of Monetary Policy on Inflation and National Economy Based on Analysis of Bank Indonesia Annual Report. Technium Social Sciences Journal, 10, 423–435. https://doi.org/10.47577/tssj.v10i1.1300

Auliya, L., & Agusalim, L. (2022). Pengaruh COVID-19 dan Upah terhadap Pengangguran Terdidik di Indonesia: Analisis Data Panel 33 Provinsi Tahun 2010-2021. Jurnal Ketenagakerjaan, 17(3), 287–305. https://doi.org/10.47198/naker.v17i3.148

Badan Pusat Statistik. (n.d.). Retrieved March 17, 2023, from https://bps.go.id/

Bank Indonesia. (n.d.). Retrieved March 17, 2023, from https://www.bi.go.id/id/default.aspx

Charina, D., & Suyanto, A. (2019). Analisis Faktor-Faktor Yang Membentuk Enterpreneurial Intention Para Generasi Muda Untuk Menjadi Young Enterpreneur. Jurnal Manajemen Dan Bisnis, 3(1). https://doi.org/10.36555/almana.v3i1.454

Dimas, G., Patra, B., Nuraini, I., Khoirul Fuddin, M., Studi, P., Pembangunan, E., Ekonomi, F., & Bisnis, D. (2022). Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Tingkat Pengangguran di Beberapa Negara ASEAN. Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi JIE, 6(3), 409–420. https://doi.org/10.22219/jie.v6i3.21623

Fauziah, A., & Surya, M. E. (2016). Peluang Investasi Emas Jangka Panjang melalui Produk Pembiayaan Bsm Cicil Emas (Studi pada Bank Syariah Mandiri K.C. Purwokerto). Islamadina, XVI(1), 57–73. https://www.neliti.com/id/publications/178315/

Firdausya, F. A., & Indawati, R. (2023). Perbandingan Uji Glejser Dan Uji Park Dalam Mendeteksi Heteroskedastisitas Pada Angka Kematian Ibu Di Provinsi Jawa Timur Tahun 2020. Jurnal NERS. https://doi.org/10.31004/jn.v7i1.14069

Harga Emas Hari Ini | Logam Mulia | Gold, Silver and Precious Metal Trading Company. (n.d.). Retrieved March 17, 2023, from https://www.logammulia.com/id/harga-emas-hari-ini

Hismendi, H., Masbar, R., Nazamuddin, N., Majid, M. S. A., & Suriani, S. (2021). Sectoral Stock Markets and Economic Growth Nexus: Empirical Evidence from Indonesia. Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business, 8(4), 11–19. https://doi.org/10.13106/jafeb.2021.vol8.no4.0011

Ichsan, R. N., & Ahmad, K. (2021). Kualitas Pelayanan Terhadap Kepuasan Nasabah Pt. Jasa Raharja Medan. JURNAL PENELITIAN PENDIDIKAN SOSIAL HUMANIORA, 6(1), 54–57. https://doi.org/10.32696/JP2SH.V6I1.729

John, D. R., & Latupeirissa, S. J. (2020). Peramalan Harga Emas di Indonesia Tahun 2014-2019 dengan Metode Arima Box-jenkins. Variance, 2(2), 53–62. https://doi.org/10.30598/variancevol2iss2page 3-62

Khuong, N. V., Phuong, N. T. T., Liem, N. T., Thuy, C. T. M., & Son, T. H. (2022). Factors Affecting the Intention to Use Financial Technology among Vietnamese Youth: Research in the Time of COVID-19 and Beyond. Economies, 10(3), 1–17. https://doi.org/10.3390/economies10030057

Kusumawati, N., Marisa, F., & Dharma Wijaya, I. (2017). Prediksi Kurs Rupiah Terhadap Dollar Amerika Dengan Menggunakan Metode Regresi Linear. JIMP-Jurnal Informatika Merdeka Pasuruan, 2(3). https://doi.org/10.37438/jimp.v2i3.79

Laily, S., & Hashim, M. (2022). Analysis On Factors Influence The Price Of Gold In Malaysia. Advanced International Journal of Business, Entrepreneurship and SMEs, 4(11), 16–22. https://doi.org/10.35631/aijbes.411002

Lastri, L. (2021). Analisis Harga Emas di Indonesia (Studi Empiris Tahun 1996-2020). Jurnal Manajemen Dan Bisnis, 128–136. https://doi.org/10.54367/JMB.V21I1.1191

Logam Mulia. (2023). Harga Emas. https://www.logammulia.com/id

Mainal, S. A., Mohd Selamat, A. H., Abd Majid, N. D. S., & Noorzee, K. N. I. (2023). Factors Influencing the Price of Gold in Malaysia. Information Management and Business Review, 15(3(I)), 195–205. https://doi.org/10.22610/imbr.v15i3(i).3529

Matondang, Z. A. (2018). Sistem Pendukung Keputusan Forecasting Harga Emas Lelang pada Pegadaian dengan Metode Single Moving Average. Jurnal Teknik Informatika Unika Santo Thomas, 3(1), 72–77. https://doi.org/10.17605/JTI.V3I1.249

Melyani, C. A., Nurtsabita, A., Shafa, G. Z., & Widodo, E. (2021). Peramalan Inflasi Di Indonesia Menggunakan Metode Autoregressive Moving Average (Arma). Journal of Mathematics Education and Science, 4(2), 67–74. https://doi.org/10.32665/james.v4i2.231

Muslimah, M. I., & Indrawati, L. R. (2022). Pengaruh Inflasi, Ekspor, dan Penyerapan Tenaga Kerja Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Jawa Tengah. 3(2).

Pachiyappan, S. (2022). Do the Macroeconomic Factors Influence the Volatility of Gold Price?: an Empirical Study. Journal of Commerce & Accounting Research, 11(2), 37–44. http://publishingindia.com/jcar/

Paulina, J. (2021). Pengaruh Earning Per Share Dan Return on Asset Terhadap Harga Saham PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk Di Bei (Periode 2012-2016). Jurnal Inovasi Penelitian, 2(2), 661–678. https://doi.org/10.47492/JIP.V2I2.727

Petrus Pekey, S., Achsani, N. A., & Santoso, M. H. (2022). Faktor-faktor Penentu Harga Tembaga di Pasar Internasional Terhadap PT. Freeport Indonesia. Jurnal Aplikasi Bisnis Dan Manajemen (JABM), 8(2), 654–654. https://doi.org/10.17358/jabm.8.2.654

Prasetyo, D., Widiyanto, D., & Si, M. (2020). Pengaruh Inflasi, Nilai Tukar Rupiah, Suku Bunga Bank Indonesia Dan Harga Emas Terhadap Nilai Aktiva Bersih Reksadana Syariah. Prosiding Konstelasi Ilmiah Mahasiswa Unissula (KIMU) Klaster Ekonomi, 0(0). https://jurnal.unissula.ac.id/index.php/kimue/article/view/8720

Puspa, S. D., Riyono, J., & Puspitasari, F. (2021). Analisis Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Pemahaman Konsep Matematis Mahasiswa dalam Pembelajaran Jarak Jauh Pada Masa

Pandemi Covid-19. Jurnal Cendekia : Jurnal Pendidikan Matematika, 5(1), 302–320. https://doi.org/10.31004/CENDEKIA.V5I1.533

Qader Yaqub, K. (2023). The Impact of the United States Macroeconomics on the Price of Gold. https://doi.org/10.33422/7th.icbmeconf.2022.12.103

Rahmansyah, I. C., Chaidir, R., & Nugraha, L. (2021). Gold Price, Inflation, and Dollar Exchange Rate: The Case of Gold Investment in Indonesia. The Indonesian Capital Market Review, 13(1). https://doi.org/10.21002/icmr.v13i1.13238

Satu Data Perdagangan. (n.d.). Retrieved March 17, 2023, from https://satudata.kemendag.go.id/

Septian Haerisma, A., Ahdi, M., & Adha, L. (2021). Pengaruh Fluktuasi Harga Emas Dan Promosi Terhadap Minat Nasabah Dalam Produk Cicil Emas Pada Pegadaian Syariah Pasar Baru Indramayu. Jurnal Ekonomi Rabbani, 1(2), 79–94. https://doi.org/10.53566/jer.v1i2.44

Sikiru, A. A., Salisu, A. A., Sikiru, A. A., & Salisu, A. A. (2022). Assessing the hedging potential of gold and other precious metals against uncertainty due to epidemics and pandemics. Quality & Quantity, 56, 2199–2214. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11135-021-01214-7

Syarofi, F. H. &, & Muharam, H. (2014). The Impact of the Domestic Interest Rates, Exchage Rate, World Oil Prices, World Gold Prices, DJIA, Nikkei 225 and HSI on the JCI. The Second International Conference on Finance, September, 16–17. https://doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.1.4311.3447

Tamasia. (2019). Asal Usul Harga Emas Dunia Yang Mempengaruhi Harga Emas Antam. https://www.tamasia.co.id/asal-usul-harga-emas/

Tanin, T. I., Sarker, A., Brooks, R., & Do, H. X. (2022). Does oil impact gold during COVID-19 and three other recent crises? Energy Economics, 108. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2022.105938

Xiong, H., & Zhang, W. (2024). How the US Macroeconomic Factors Affect the Gold Price? Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences, 124(1), 32–37. https://doi.org/10.54254/2754-1169/2024.mur17825

Xu, Y. (2024). Research on Gold Price Changes and Factors Under the Background of Fed Interest Rate Hike. Highlights in Business, Economics and Management, 24, 1239–1245. https://doi.org/10.54097/ng2pzf55

Youvan, D. C. (2024). The Impact of Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decisions on Gold Prices: A Safe Haven Amidst Economic Uncertainty. September. https://doi.org/10.13140/rg.2.2.31965.42727

Yuliana, A. F., & Robiyanto, R. (2021). Peran Emas Sebagai Safe Haven Bagi Saham Pertambangan Di Indonesia Pada Periode Pandemi Covid-19. Jurnal Ilmiah Bisnis Dan Ekonomi Asia, 15(1), 1–11. https://doi.org/10.32815/jibeka.v15i1.217

Yunita, Y., Nurlita, E., & Robiyanto. (2018). Pengaruh Suku Bunga,Kurs Rupiah dan Harga Saham Sektor Pertambangan di Bursa Efek Indonesia. Prosiding SENDI_U, 978–979.

Yusnitasari, A. (2020). Peramalan Inflasi Indonesia dengan Menggunakan Metode Arima Box-jenkins. Jurnal Paradigma Multidispliner 1(2), 474430. https://doi.org/10.1210/.V1I2.25

Yuwono, W., Bhuan, S., & Buntu Laulita, N. (2023). Factors Influencing Growth of Gross Domestic Product In 6 ASEAN Countries. Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Dan Studi Pembangunan, 23(2), 444–460. https://doi.org/10.30596/ekonomikawan.v23i2.17917

Downloads

Published

2025-05-22